4th ISPMNA: November 1-3, 2022 (Leicester, UK)

List of Presentations

 pdf version of the program with abstracts can be donwloaded here.

A zip all all the presentations can be donwloaded here. (~ 100 Mb)

Uncertainty Characterization/Inputs to Probabilistic

  • UC_01: Material Property Distributions from Small Datasets (A. Norman, A. Harte, S. Capp, M. Gorley, C. Hamelin)
  • UC_02: The Sensitivity of Mechanical Properties of AISI 4140 Steel to Changes in Compositions(L. Scotti, S. Supanekar, H. C. Basoalto-Ibarra, D. Cogswell)

Uncertainty Analysis/Application to Probabilistic Approach

  • UA_01: Monte Carlo Defect Tolerance assessment of a plant weld for increased life (B. Pellereau)
  • UA_02: Surrogate Modelling and Uncertainty Analysis in Crystal Plasticity Finite Element (CPFE) Modelling (D. Kumar, P. Wilcox, D. Knowles, M. Mostafavi)
  • UA_03: Probabilistic Reactor Control Failure Analysis for a Nominal Molten Salt Reactor(J. Finley, H. Cathcart)
  • UA_04: Uncertainty Propagation by Nested and Non-Nested Sampling in Probabilistic Finess-For-Service Evaluations of Pressure Tubes in Candu Reactors(C. Manu, L. Gutkin)
  • UA_05: PIPER-CASS Probabilistic Code for Evaluation of Piping Integrity of Cast Austenitic Stainless Steel Piping Components in PWRs – Analysis and Results (M. Burkardt, G. White, M. Wolfson, K. Fuhr, C. Casarez, D.-J. Shim)
  • UA_06: Use of the xLPR Code for Developing LOCA Frequency Estimates (M. Burkardt, G. Schmidt, N. Glunt, C. Harrington)
  • UA_07: Probabilistic Leak-Before-Break Evaluation of Small Line Dissimilar Metal Welds Using xLPR (N. Glunt, C. Harrington, D.-J. Shim, N. Cofie, M. Uddin)
  • UA_08: Probabilistic Analysis of a Reactor Vessel Outlet Nozzle (C. Sallaberry, F. Brust, E. Twombly, R. Kurth, M. Homiack)
  • UA_09From Single Weld to Power Plant: System Level Probabilities (C. Sallaberry, F. Brust, E. Twombly, R. Kurth, M. Homiack)

Regulatory/Generic Applications

  • RG_01: Assessing Passive Components with Risk-Informed Thinking(D. Rudland, D. Widrevitz, S. Cumblidge)
  • RG_02A Condition-Based Risk-Informed Decision-Making Framework for Severe Accident Management (G. Roma, F. Di Maio, E. Zio)
  • RG_03USNRC Guidance on Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics for Regulatory Application(P. Raynaud, D. Rudland, D. Dijamco, S. Cumblidge)
  • RG_04Advancements of Probabilistic Approaches for CANDU Components and Systems in Canada(B. Wasiluk, B. Carroll, J. Riznic)

Regulatory Panel

  • Panel-01: History and Progress of Probabilistic Methodologies in Japan (H. Sasaki)
  • Panel-02Views on Probabilistic Arguments in Structural Integrity Safety Cases (C. Berre)
  • Panel_03The Use of Probabilistic Methodologies in Passive Components in Korea (S. Lee)
  • Panel_04The Evolving Perception of Probabilistic Applications in the Nuclear Regulatory Environment (D. Rudland)
  • Panel_05The Evolving Perception of Probabilistic Applications in the Nuclear Regulatory Environment (R. Mendizábal)

Probabilistic Methodologies

  • PM_01Increasing Conservatism and Robustness in Uncertainty Quantification-Based Safety Studies Using Advanced Statistical Tools (B. Iooss)
  • PM_02Towards the Design of Resilient and Safe Nuclear System with Imprecise Probability (E. Patelli, E. Miralles Dolz, A. Gray, T.V. Santhosh)
  • PM_03Probabilistic Structural Integrity Analysis for Advanced Modular Reactors (J. M. Finley, H. Cathcart)
  • PM_04The Mathematical Formulation for Model Based Uncertainty Quantification (J.S. Kaizer, L. Gutkin)
  • PM_06Application of Advanced Importance Sampling Methods for Probabilistic Fatigue Crack Growth Evaluation (C. Oh, S. Lee)
  • PM_07Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Approach for the Assessment of Pressure Piping (Y. J. Janin, I. Hadley, C. Schneider, M. Weltevreden)

Benchmark

  • BM_01Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Codes for Piping International Benchmark (X. Duan, M. Wang)
  • BM_02Comparison of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics and Extended Finite Element Method Based Natural Crack Growth in Nickel-Based Alloy Large-Bore Piping Welds(D. Leary, Y. Shi, M. Wang, X. Duan)
  • BM_03: Verification of K Calculation Module for Enhancement of Pipe PFM Code “PEDESTRIAN”(M. Nagai, N. Miura, T. Sakai, S. Miyashiro)
  • BM_04State-Of-The-Art for Probabilistic PTS Analysis (R. Tiete, K. Angermeier, V. Pistora)

Probabilistic Codes

  • CD_01: Surrogate Modelling and Uncertainty Quantification of Crystal Plasticity Finite Element Simulations (H. M. J. Dorward, M. J. Peel, M. Mostafavi)
  • CD_02: Hybrid Probabilistic Model for Resistance of Pressure Tube Material in Canadian Nuclear Reactors to Crack Initiation due to Hydrided Region Overloads(L. Gutkin, D. Scarth)
  • CD_03: PIPER-CASS Probabilistic Code for Evaluation of Piping Integrity of Cast Austenitic Stainless Steel Piping Components in PWRs – Software Structure and Design( M. Burkardt, G. White, M. Wolfson, K. Fuhr, C. Casarez, D J Shim)
  • CD_04Development of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Code for RPVs: FERMAT(S. Miyashiro, T. Sakai, M. Nagai, M. Yamamoto)
  • CD_05: FAVPRO: A Modern Parallel Probabilistic Tool for Reactor Pressure Vessel Integrity Analysis (P. Raynaud,C. Ulmer, T. Dickson, M. Smith, A. Dyszel, D. Rouson, B. Richardson, K. Morris, K. Rasmussen)
  • CD_06: PASCAL5 – An Updated Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Analysis Code for Structural Integrity Assessment of Japanese Reactor Pressure Vessels (Y. Li, K. Lu, H. Takamizawa)